Saturday, November 17, 2012

Productive Efficiency


Definition of Productive efficiency
Productive efficiency is concerned with producing goods and services with the optimal combination of inputs to produce maximum output for the minimum cost.
To be productively efficient means the economy must be producing on its production possibility frontier. (i.e. it is impossible to produce more of one good without producing less of another).
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  • Points A and B are productively efficient.
  • Point C is inefficient because you could produce more goods or services with no opportunity cost
A firm is said to be productively efficient when it is producing at the lowest point on the average cost curve (where Marginal cost meets average cost).
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Productive efficiency is closely related to the concept of Technical Efficiency. A firm is technically efficient when it combines the optimal combination of labour and capital to produce a good. i.e. cannot produce more of a good, without more inputs.
Note: An economy can be productively efficient but have very poor allocative efficiency.
Allocative efficiency is concerned with the optimal distribution of resources. For example, if you devoted 90% of GDP to defence, you could be productively efficient, but, this would be a very unbalanced economy.

Monday, October 8, 2012

Revision - Money


Money is medium of exchange which can clear past and present obligation. Money is anything that is generally accepted as payment for goods and services and repayment of debts.
Functions of money
Money is often defined in terms of the three functions or services that it provides. Money serves as a medium of exchange, as a store of value, and as a unit of account.
Medium of exchange:
Money’s most important function is as a medium of exchange to facilitate transactions. Without money, all transactions would have to be conducted by barter, which involves direct exchange of one good or service for another. The difficulty with a barter system is that in order to obtain a particular good or service from a supplier, one has to possess a good or service of equal value, which the supplier also desires. In other words, in a barter system, exchange can take place only if there is a double coincidence of wantsbetween two transacting parties. The likelihood of a double coincidence of wants, however, is small and makes the exchange of goods and services rather difficult. Money effectively eliminates the double coincidence of wants problem by serving as a medium of exchange that is accepted in all transactions, by all parties, regardless of whether they desire each others’ goods and services.
Store of value:
In order to be a medium of exchange, money must hold its value over time; that is, it must be a store of value. If money could not be stored for some period of time and still remain valuable in exchange, it would not solve the double coincidence of wants problem and therefore would not be adopted as a medium of exchange. As a store of value, money is not unique; many other stores of value exist, such as land, works of art, and even baseball cards and stamps. Money may not even be the best store of value because it depreciates with inflation. However, money is more liquid than most other stores of value because as a medium of exchange, it is readily accepted everywhere. Furthermore, money is an easily transported store of value that is available in a number of convenient denominations.

Unit of account:
Money also functions as a unit of account, providing a common measure of the value of goods and services being exchanged. Knowing the value or price of a good, in terms of money, enables both the supplier and the purchaser of the good to make decisions about how much of the good to supply and how much of the good to purchase.
A standard of deferred payment
Money can be used to pay over time for commodities. Goods and services can be paid for in installments over a period of time e.g hire purchase. This was much more difficult and complicated in the barter system.
Characteristics

General acceptance

The essential quality of good money is that it should be acceptable to all, without any hesitation in the exchange for goods and services.

Portability

It is also an important quality of good money that is should be easily transferable from one place to another for doing business and making payment. The paper money is easier to carry because it has minimum possible wait than metallic money.

Storability

Money should be storable and it should not be depreciate with time. If the money used is perishable it will lose its value in few days. Paper money has this quality of storability.

Divisibility

Good money is that which could be divided into small units without losing any value.

Durability

Money should be durable. It should not lose its value with the passage of time. The gold and silver coins do not wear out quickly and quality of money remains the same.

Economy

It is important quality of good money that it should be made economically. If there is heavy cost on issuing more money that is not good money. Good money is that has low cost and more supply. Paper money has this quality of economy.

Revision - Does a Current Account Deficit Matter?

A current account deficit measures the balance of trade in:

  • goods
  • services
  • net investment incomes and transfers
A deficit on the current account means a country is importing more than we are exporting. This will have to be matched by a surplus on the financial and / or capital account.

The financial account comprises of 2 main features:

  • a) Short Term Capital flows e.g. hot money flows and purchase of securities
  • b) Long Term Capital flows e.g. investment in building new factories



current-account-deficit-world

Some economists argue we need not worry about a current account deficit. This is because:

  1. If a current account deficit is financed from long term capital inflows then this can be beneficial for the economy. Inward investment can increase the productive capacity of the economy.
  2. In an era of globalisation it is much easier to attract sufficient capital flows to finance the deficit.
  3. If the deficit gets too large it will cause a devaluation which helps to reduce the deficit. Also when there is a slowdown in consumer spending the deficit will fall.
  4. A current account deficit provides an outlet for domestic demand and prevents inflation.


Reasons to Worry about a Current Account Deficit.

1. There could be problems financing the deficit in the long term. A short term deficit is not a problem, but if you have a deficit of over 6% of GDP then it is a problem if you rely on Capital flows. A significant part of the current account deficit in US is finance by Chinese investors buying US securities, at relatively low interest rates.

2. Most countries would not be able to borrow such large amounts at low interest rates. The US currently can because the US is seen as the World’s reserve currency. However if attitudes to the US economy change and investors lose their confidence in the US economy, they will stop buying US debt. This will cause 2 problems.


  • US interest rates will need to rise to attract enough people to buy the debt. These higher interest rates will reduce demand in the economy. Higher interest rates will particularly hurt American consumers who have large amounts of debt at the moment.
  • If capital flows can’t be attracted then the dollar will continue to devalue further. This could cause inflationary pressures, interest rates may need to rise to stabilise the dollar.
Basically to correct the deficit would be a painful experience for the US economy and result in a slowdown or possibly recession

3. In the US the current account deficit is to a large extent caused by excess spending in the economy. It is partly caused by government borrowing which increases Aggregate Demand in the economy and hence growing demand for imports. A large current account deficit is often a sign of an unbalanced economy. It could be a sign of structural weakness and an uncompetitive manufacturing sector. This is particularly a problem in the Eurozone where the exchange rates are permanently fixed.

4. A deficit on the current account increases foreign liabilities. In the beginning a current account deficit could be just a deficit on buying goods. However over time the deficit will be increased by the interest payments on the capital surplus. Foreigners invest in the US. On these investments they receive interest payments or dividends. These dividends count as a debit on the current account. Therefore the longer the deficit goes on the higher the level of investment income debits will be accrued. This means that in the future the economy will need to attract capital flows just to pay off the investment income. As well as the deficit on goods and services.


US current account deficit reached 6% of GDP in 2006. This reflected strong domestic demand and a decline in competitiveness. The credit crunch caused a reduction in US current account deficit.

Example of Iceland's Current Account Deficit




Iceland is an example of a country with a large current deficit which later imploded.
In the years leading up to 2008, there was a sharp inflow of capital to Icelandic banks. This enabled Iceland to run a record current account deficit. Iceland was spending more than they were earning. When capital flows dried up, banks lost money and there was a rapid deterioration in the current account. 


Current Account Deficits in the Eurozone

In the Eurozone, current account deficits are a bigger cause for concern because countries have a permanently fixed exchange rate (common currency). Therefore they can't devalue to restore competitiveness. Therefore countries may have to pursue internal devaluation (deflation) to restore competitiveness.

Conclusion


It depends on the size of the current account as a % of GDP. Clearly in Iceland's case, over 20% of GDP was unsustainable. But, in US case 6% of GDP later shrank to a more manageable 3% of GDP.
A current account deficit is often a signal of another underlying problem. For example, a banking boom (in Iceland's case). A boom in domestic demand or a lack of competitiveness in Eurozone.

Revision - Factors that determine international competitiveness


A look at factors affecting international competitiveness. International competitiveness is a measure of the relative cost of goods / services from a country. Countries which can produce the same quality of goods at a lower cost are said to be more competitive.

1. Relative Inflation

If the inflation rate is relatively lower than other countries, then over time you become more competitive because your goods will be increasing at a slower rate. For example, in the post war period Japan and Germany had relatively lower inflation rates than major competitors, this helped them to become more competitive.


This graph of relative inflation rates showed that during the period shown, inflation in Greece fell from close to 5% to below 2%. This suggests that Greece will have become slightly more competitive in this period.


2. Productivity

Productivity is a measure of output per input. The most common measure would be labour productivity. For example, with improved technology and education, a country can enjoy higher labour productivity and therefore produce goods at a lower cost. Higher labour productivity is the key to increasing competitiveness and living standards at the same time.

 
German vs Italian labour productivity. During this period, Italian labour productivity growth has tended to lag behind Germany, leading to lower competitiveness of Italian exports.


This shows labour productivity index for UK and Germany. Between 1990 and 2005, Germany labour productivity increased 25 base points. UK labour productivity increased by 35 base points. Showing that the UK had faster improvements in labour productivity during this period.


3. Exchange Rate

Movements in the exchange rate will determine competitiveness. For example, a sharp depreciation will make exports cheaper and more competitive. An increase (appreciation) in the exchange rate, makes the foreign currency price more expensive.

Often movements in the exchange rate reflect relative costs. For example, if a country has lower inflation, this will lead to an appreciation in the exchange rate, making exports relatively more expensive. Thus a floating exchange rate, helps to maintain relative competitiveness levels.

However, sometimes economies can artificially maintain a lower value of the exchange rate to maintain competitiveness. For example, China has been accused of exchange rate manipulation. China buys large quantities of US securities, this causes an increase in the value of the dollar and helps to keep the Yuan undervalued. Therefore, this helps Chinese exports to be more competitive and explains the large Chinese current account surplus

Government has used supply side policies to increase productivity. E.g. education and training.
However, there is a limit to what the government can do to increase productivity. Increased productivity can be due to other factors.

competitivness  

Competitiveness in the Euro

In the Euro, countries have a permanently fixed exchange rate - they cannot devalue to restore competitiveness. Therefore divergences in labour costs and productivity will have a bigger impact on competitiveness than in a floating exchange rate. See: EU Competitiveness

4. Tax Rates

Tax rates on labour and corporations will be a factor in determining competitiveness. For example, higher labour taxes will increase the unit cost of labour faced by firms, leading to lower competitiveness.

5. Cost of Doing Business

It is argued that countries with more labour market regulations and regulations about doing business will have higher costs and lower competitiveness. For example, the difficulty in gaining planning regulations to expand a factory.

The World Bank produce a list of countries which are the 'easiest places to do business'. The criteria include factors such as flexibility of labour markets, degree of regulations, protection of private property.

 Top 10 Ease of doing business

  1. Singapore
  2.  Hong Kong
  3.  New Zealand
  4. United States
  5.  Denmark
  6.  Norway
  7.  United Kingdom
  8.  South Korea
  9.  Iceland
  10.  Ireland


6. Infrastructure

A key factor in determining competitiveness is the cost of transport. For example, some argue the UK's competitiveness is undermined by bottlenecks in transport, such as limited airport capacity in London and traffic jams on major roads.

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Exam Results

Block 5


No Name P1 40% Data Response 30% Essay 30% Total marks P2 (60%) Total marks P1+P2 (100%) Total marks for APR (100%) Total marks (100%) Grade
30 20 20
1 NUR FARZANA HAZIQAH BT MD RUDIAN 15.00 20.00 9.00 13.50 8.00 12.00 25.50 45.50 45.50 46 E
2 SH MD RAIMI QUSYAIRI B SH MAHMUD 10.00 13.33 5.50 8.25 3.00 4.50 12.75 26.08 26.08 26 U
3 SITI KHAIRUNNISA 21.00 28.00 7.00 10.50 11.00 16.50 27.00 55.00 55.00 55 D
4 DK NURUL SAIYIDAH BT PG MD JEFFERY 15.00 20.00 10.00 15.00 2.00 3.00 18.00 38.00 38.00 38 U
5 LIM YEE WEN 15.00 20.00 4.00 6.00 2.00 3.00 9.00 29.00 29.00 29 U
6 LIYANA SAFIYAH BT HJ SIDEK 21.00 28.00 6.50 9.75 10.00 15.00 24.75 52.75 52.75 53 D
7 MD HASRI B HJ HASNAN 22.00 29.33 10.00 15.00 11.00 16.50 31.50 60.83 60.83 61 C
8 MD SYAZWEE B MD 16.00 21.33 5.00 7.50 7.50 11.25 18.75 40.08 40.08 40 E
9 MD KHALID WASSIDI SALLEH 17.00 22.67 7.00 10.50 13.00 19.50 30.00 52.67 52.67 53 D
10 NURUL ATIQAH BT GHANI 13.00 17.33 7.00 10.50 4.00 6.00 16.50 33.83 33.83 34 U

Block 3


No Name P1 40% Data Response 30% Essay 30% Total marks P2 (60%) Total marks P1+P2 (100%) Total marks for APR (100%) Total marks (100%) Grade
30 20 20
1 SITI NUR RAFIAH BT MOHAMMAD 18.00 24.00 8.00 12.00 8.00 12.00 24.00 48.00 48.00 48 E
2 MD RAFIE AQWA B HJ RONIE 16.00 21.33 7.00 10.50 7.00 10.50 21.00 42.33 42.33 42 E
3 NADIAH MAHIRAH BT ALIMAS 7.00 9.33 4.00 6.00 2.00 3.00 9.00 18.33 18.33 18 U
4 NORHIDAYATI AMAL NAZIRAH BT HJ YUNOS 11.00 14.67 7.00 10.50 10.50 15.75 26.25 40.92 40.92 41 E
5 NAJIYAH BT HJ ABD RAHIM 11.00 14.67 7.00 10.50 6.00 9.00 19.50 34.17 34.17 34 U
6 KHAIRUNNISA BT TAHAMIT 11.00 14.67 9.50 14.25 15.00 22.50 36.75 51.42 51.42 51 D
7 MU'SYADZWANNA 24.00 32.00 15.00 22.50 14.00 21.00 43.50 75.50 75.50 76 B
8 MD JAD ZAFRAN 11.00 14.67 5.00 7.50 7.00 10.50 18.00 32.67 32.67 33 U
9 NURSYAZANA SYAHIRAH BT SAIFUL NOREZAM 10.00 13.33 7.00 10.50 9.00 13.50 24.00 37.33 37.33 37 U